I have written a column on this subject at the
beginning of each administration in Trenton.
I am bored with the topic, but, sadly, it is still
right on target and necessary.
Candidate Jim Florio saw no reason to increase
taxes. Governor-elect Florio was not able say
anything about new taxes until a complete review of
the state’s books was completed. Governor Florio
brought us what some have called the state’s largest
tax increases. I am one of a few people who thought
those tax increases necessary, but his lack of
candor is still upsetting.
Candidate Christine Whitman told us she would cut
income taxes by thirty percent and we would generate
hundreds of thousands of jobs. Governor Whitman
borrowed huge piles of money to fix her budgets and
job growth was anemic.
Candidate Jim McGreevey also saw no reason to
increase taxes. Governor-elect McGreevey told us
this unequivocal campaign promise did not, of
course, include business taxes or taxes on
half-millionaires. Many of the new revenues Governor
McGreevey imposed were absolutely necessary, but,
once more, there was an upsetting lack of candor.
The tradition continues.
Candidate Jon Corzine is still a relative piker in
the lack-of-candor club, but I suspect he will
become the club’s president in a few months.
Candidate Corzine saw no reason to increase the
state’s motor fuels tax, but Governor-elect Corzine
now says that was only in the context of gasoline at
$3.00 per gallon.
It is our own fault it we did not see the obvious
limitations on the promise. An increase in the motor
fuels tax is necessary, but Corzine’s lack of candor
is neither necessary nor welcome.
The next step may, however, be a shocker, even for
New Jerseyans.
Corzine is talking about a $6 billion state budget
deficit and the fiscal pain necessary to deal with
it. There is a rumor that his staff is thinking
about renting a Chicken Little costume for the
inauguration;
New Jersey’s governor deserves to be appropriately
dressed when the sky actually falls.
However, the “real” deficit is nowhere near this
level, if a deficit even exists.
One of the two eternal verities of
New Jersey government is that we vote for the
candidate we hope will pull off another “loaves and
fishes” stunt.” While most of us understand
government things are not actually “free,” we assume
government will make others pay for the things we
want.
As an example, I offer the Art Hog Establishment,
which has perfected the art of reaching into your
pocket to pay for something you have proven you do
not and would not buy. The realization or
expectation that someone else will pay for whatever
government gives us causes us to ask government for
everything.
The second eternal verity—springing from deep-seated
ego gratification needs of elected officials—is that
governors really want to give us everything.
Governors, however, have a different idea of that
“someone else” who will eventually pay for today’s
excesses—their successors.
Governors know they can, for example, increase
rebates today, even in the face of a budget deficit,
and the true cost of them to their successor. That
means you, our children, and me. That is why New
Jerseyans are where we are and why we are there.
But, is there anything we can do about this
situation?
Yes.
First, let’s bring a little common sense to our
budget by breaking it in two – creating a current
budget, an operating budget, and a capital budget.
This makes sense. In the year you bought your house,
you did not balance your budget and did not care.
Let’s apply this bit of common sense to state
government. While politicians will almost
immediately begin to play the game of switching
items between current and capital accounts, it may
be easier for us to see what is really going on.
Second, let’s begin to look a bit more closely at
the future effects of what we do today. Let’s have
the governor submit a five- or ten-year pro forma
operating and capital account budgets with the
ordinary fiscal year budget. Again, there will be
many games played with the economic assumptions for
longer-term budgets, but our goal should remain
simple—to see what is really going on.
This could be a real benefit to those who have to
budget with an eye to future state actions.